September 2, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Benoit Saint Denis's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benoit Saint Denis for the expected result. Had Gabriel Miranda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:16 | 0:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -37 |
Benoit Saint Denis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 829 |
| ELO Change | +171 | -171 |
Benoit Saint Denis dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 33 total strikes, 42 vs 20 significant strikes, 62.7% vs 54.1% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:17 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 124 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Benoit Saint Denis controlled Gabriel Miranda on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:17 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -20 |
Benoit Saint Denis demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Miranda's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Benoit Saint Denis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriel Miranda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

