June 30, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Benoit Saint Denis's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benoit Saint Denis for the expected result. Had Ismael Bonfim pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 190 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -44 |
Benoit Saint Denis earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 198 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Benoit Saint Denis edged the striking exchanges with 35 vs 15 total strikes, 39.4% vs 58.3% accuracy. Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:57 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 184 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Benoit Saint Denis controlled Ismael Bonfim on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:57 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Benoit Saint Denis demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this activity level, while Ismael Bonfim's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Benoit Saint Denis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ismael Bonfim is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benoit Saint Denis | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

