Benoit Saint Denis vs Kyle Prepolec

May 10, 2025

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1194
(+17)
Benoit Saint Denis
Winner: Benoit Saint Denis
Submission
Round 2 • 2:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Benoit Saint Denis+17
Kyle Prepolec-15
927
(-15)
Kyle Prepolec

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +16Kyle Prepolec: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Total UFC Fights93
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 150938
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benoit Saint Denis for the expected result. Had Kyle Prepolec pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +15Kyle Prepolec: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 072945
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +10Kyle Prepolec: -6

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:352:35
Win Type ELO1 378928
ELO Change+10-6
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What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:35, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kyle Prepolec was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +16Kyle Prepolec: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Significant Strikes Landed5412
Significant Strikes Attempted7027
Total Strikes Landed7714
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 285918
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis dominated the striking exchanges with 77 vs 14 total strikes, 54 vs 12 significant strikes, 77.1% vs 44.4% accuracy. Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +35Kyle Prepolec: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time5:320:07
Ground Strikes Landed80
Ground ELO1 279838
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis dominated Kyle Prepolec on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:32 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +11Kyle Prepolec: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Days Since Last Fight2242 066
Activity ELO1 197954
ELO Change+11-9
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Benoit Saint Denis capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Prepolec's 2066-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +14Kyle Prepolec: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 116948
ELO Change+14-13
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Prepolec is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: +15Kyle Prepolec: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisKyle Prepolec
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 072945
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.