November 11, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 221 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -30 |
Benson Henderson overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 198 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Benson Henderson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 282 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Benson Henderson dominated the striking exchanges with 102 vs 35 total strikes, 40 vs 11 significant strikes, 44.9% vs 27.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Benson Henderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:27 | 2:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 430 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Benson Henderson landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -29 |
Benson Henderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Benson Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -25 |
Benson Henderson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Clay Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.