April 19, 2013
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 371 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Benson Henderson's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benson Henderson for the expected result. Had Gilbert Melendez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 315 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -6 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Benson Henderson captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 340 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Benson Henderson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 166 | 191 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 440 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
Benson Henderson controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 56 total strikes, 68 vs 43 significant strikes, 41.0% vs 22.5% accuracy. Benson Henderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 540 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Benson Henderson edged out Gilbert Melendez on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 356 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -5 |
Benson Henderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Benson Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Melendez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 258 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -9 |
Benson Henderson continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gilbert Melendez's now at 0.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Gilbert Melendez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 162 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.