November 27, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 313 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Benson Henderson's 5-fight experience advantage (14 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benson Henderson for the expected result. Had Jorge Masvidal pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 263 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 347 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Benson Henderson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 146 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 217 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 358 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (217 vs 138 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (77 vs 86). However, since Jorge Masvidal lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Benson Henderson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:52 | 3:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 471 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Benson Henderson edged out Jorge Masvidal on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 398 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Benson Henderson demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Benson Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 240 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Benson Henderson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 157 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.