January 24, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 337 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Benson Henderson's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benson Henderson for the expected result. Had Josh Thomson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 290 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 305 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Benson Henderson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 449 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Benson Henderson dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 33 total strikes, 46 vs 19 significant strikes, 50.5% vs 32.8% accuracy. Benson Henderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:00 | 7:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 490 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Benson Henderson controlled Josh Thomson on the ground with 4 takedowns, 5:00 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 341 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -8 |
Benson Henderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Benson Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Thomson's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 240 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -12 |
Benson Henderson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Thomson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Josh Thomson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 151 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.