August 22, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 304 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Rafael Dos Anjos's 5-fight experience advantage (16 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Benson Henderson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 268 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:31 | 2:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 305 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +85 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 330 | 1 460 |
| ELO Change | -142 | +142 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 10 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 423 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 336 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Benson Henderson's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 228 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Rafael Dos Anjos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Benson Henderson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 143 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.