June 6, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 349 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Benson Henderson's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Benson Henderson for the expected result. Had Rustam Khabilov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 299 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 1:16 | 1:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 343 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -26 |
Benson Henderson earned a finish with a Submission in round 4 at 1:16, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Rustam Khabilov was submitted.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 472 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Benson Henderson controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 18 significant strikes, 37.1% vs 23.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Benson Henderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:53 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 504 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Benson Henderson controlled Rustam Khabilov on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:53 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 213 |
| Activity ELO | 1 357 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -8 |
Benson Henderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Benson Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Rustam Khabilov's 213-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 254 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -12 |
Benson Henderson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rustam Khabilov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Benson Henderson | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 167 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.