June 16, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:09 | 1:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +95 |
Holly Holm gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 988 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Holly Holm controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 15 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 23.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Holly Holm capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 997 | 960 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +45 |
Holly Holm demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Holly Holm capitalized on this activity level, while Bethe Correia's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Holly Holm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bethe Correia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.