October 1, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Karol Rosa overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bethe Correia.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Karol Rosa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 125 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 199 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 145 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Karol Rosa dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 85 total strikes, 125 vs 62 significant strikes, 62.8% vs 42.2% accuracy. Karol Rosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 928 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Karol Rosa controlled Bethe Correia on the ground with 2:50 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 434 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 037 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Karol Rosa demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Karol Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Bethe Correia's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Karol Rosa extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bethe Correia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Karol Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 974 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.