April 15, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 102 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raquel Pennington receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 050 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Raquel Pennington edged the striking exchanges with 75 vs 66 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 38.6% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Raquel Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bethe Correia on the ground with 1:03 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Bethe Correia's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Raquel Pennington extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bethe Correia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

