August 29, 2014
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Bethe Correia's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bethe Correia for the expected result. Had Shayna Baszler pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 128 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -35 |
Bethe Correia gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 147 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Bethe Correia dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 19 total strikes, 68 vs 8 significant strikes, 66.0% vs 26.7% accuracy. Bethe Correia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:36 | 1:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Bethe Correia controlled Shayna Baszler on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -17 |
Bethe Correia demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bethe Correia capitalized on this activity level, while Shayna Baszler's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Bethe Correia extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shayna Baszler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bethe Correia | Shayna Baszler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.