February 1, 2019
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Rogerio Bontorin overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bibulatov Magomed.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 005 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rogerio Bontorin receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Bibulatov Magomed controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (58 vs 40). However, since Bibulatov Magomed lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rogerio Bontorin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:16 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Rogerio Bontorin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bibulatov Magomed on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:58 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 484 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Rogerio Bontorin demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rogerio Bontorin capitalized on this activity level, while Bibulatov Magomed's 484-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Rogerio Bontorin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bibulatov Magomed is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bibulatov Magomed | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.