July 15, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 062 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -52 |
Bill Algeo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 132 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Bill Algeo dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 18 total strikes, 28 vs 10 significant strikes. Bill Algeo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:26 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 101 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Bill Algeo controlled Herbert Burns on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:26 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 700 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Bill Algeo demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bill Algeo capitalized on this activity level, while Herbert Burns's 700-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 043 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Bill Algeo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Herbert Burns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.