August 28, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Ricardo Lamas's 16-fight experience advantage (17 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricardo Lamas for the expected result. Had Bill Algeo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Ricardo Lamas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 145 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 984 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Ricardo Lamas controlled the striking exchanges with 104 vs 89 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 53.0% accuracy. Ricardo Lamas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:19 | 6:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Ricardo Lamas dominated Bill Algeo on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 6:13 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 448 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +9 |
Ricardo Lamas demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ricardo Lamas capitalized on this activity level, while Bill Algeo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +15 |
Ricardo Lamas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bill Algeo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

