November 27, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 040 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Bill Algeo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 056 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Bill Algeo dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 28 total strikes, 70 vs 23 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 43.4% accuracy. Bill Algeo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:16 | 4:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 003 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Bill Algeo edged out Spike Carlyle on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:16 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -22 |
Bill Algeo demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bill Algeo capitalized on this activity level, while Spike Carlyle's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Bill Algeo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Spike Carlyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | Spike Carlyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.