April 14, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -27 |
Bill Algeo earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:40, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. TJ Brown was submitted.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 145 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Bill Algeo controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 49 total strikes, 64 vs 46 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bill Algeo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 190 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +137 | -137 |
Bill Algeo dominated TJ Brown on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:42 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Bill Algeo demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bill Algeo capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Brown's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Bill Algeo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.