Billy Elekana vs Bogdan Guskov

January 18, 2025

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

977
(-23)
Billy Elekana
Winner: Bogdan Guskov
Submission
Round 2 • 3:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Billy Elekana-23
Bogdan Guskov+25
1111
(+25)
Bogdan Guskov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -24Bogdan Guskov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9761 108
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bogdan Guskov for the expected result. Had Billy Elekana pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -19Bogdan Guskov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 045
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -18Bogdan Guskov: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:333:33
Win Type ELO9821 255
ELO Change-18+28
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:33, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Billy Elekana was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -20Bogdan Guskov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Significant Strikes Landed2047
Significant Strikes Attempted2871
Total Strikes Landed2859
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9801 224
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 28 total strikes, 47 vs 20 significant strikes. Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -51Bogdan Guskov: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time3:401:24
Ground Strikes Landed717
Ground ELO9491 022
ELO Change-51+51
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov edged out Billy Elekana on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -14Bogdan Guskov: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Days Since Last FightN/A267
Activity ELO9861 130
ELO Change-14+18
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Elekana's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -19Bogdan Guskov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9811 061
ELO Change-19+24
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Elekana is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Elekana: -19Bogdan Guskov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly ElekanaBogdan Guskov
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 045
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.