Billy Quarantillo vs Cub Swanson

December 14, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1048
(-29)
Billy Quarantillo
Winner: Cub Swanson
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 1:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Billy Quarantillo-29
Cub Swanson+34
1173
(+34)
Cub Swanson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -26Cub Swanson: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Total UFC Fights1125
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO1 0531 162
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson's 14-fight experience advantage (25 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Billy Quarantillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -19Cub Swanson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0161 090
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -31Cub Swanson: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:361:36
Win Type ELO1 1911 376
ELO Change-31+62
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -90Cub Swanson: +90

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Significant Strikes Landed9799
Significant Strikes Attempted237158
Total Strikes Landed108114
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0531 213
ELO Change-90+90
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson controlled the striking exchanges with 62.7% vs 40.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -13Cub Swanson: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time2:070:10
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9091 081
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Billy Quarantillo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -16Cub Swanson: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Days Since Last Fight267169
Activity ELO1 1111 236
ELO Change-16+28
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Quarantillo's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -17Cub Swanson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0381 143
ELO Change-17+19
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What Happened

Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Quarantillo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -19Cub Swanson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloCub Swanson
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0161 084
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.