December 14, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Cub Swanson's 14-fight experience advantage (25 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Billy Quarantillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:36 | 1:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +62 |
Cub Swanson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 99 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 237 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 108 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Cub Swanson controlled the striking exchanges with 62.7% vs 40.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:07 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 909 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Cub Swanson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Billy Quarantillo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 267 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +28 |
Cub Swanson demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Quarantillo's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Quarantillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Cub Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

