Billy Quarantillo vs Edson Barboza

April 14, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1103
(-41)
Billy Quarantillo
Winner: Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Billy Quarantillo-41
Edson Barboza+48
1191
(+48)
Edson Barboza

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -30Edson Barboza: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Total UFC Fights828
Experience Gap-2020
Experience ELO1 0881 167
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza's 20-fight experience advantage (28 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Billy Quarantillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -21Edson Barboza: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0381 087
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -38Edson Barboza: +85

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:372:37
Win Type ELO1 2561 415
ELO Change-38+85
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -128Edson Barboza: +128

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Significant Strikes Landed1921
Significant Strikes Attempted4233
Total Strikes Landed2021
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1771 249
ELO Change-128+128
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 63.6% vs 45.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -60Edson Barboza: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:390:02
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 0771 144
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -14Edson Barboza: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Days Since Last Fight126406
Activity ELO1 0931 244
ELO Change-14+12
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Quarantillo's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -19Edson Barboza: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0571 135
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Quarantillo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Quarantillo: -21Edson Barboza: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly QuarantilloEdson Barboza
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0381 084
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.