April 14, 2023
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 28 |
| Experience Gap | -20 | 20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Edson Barboza's 20-fight experience advantage (28 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Billy Quarantillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 415 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +85 |
Edson Barboza earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 63.6% vs 45.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Edson Barboza landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +12 |
Edson Barboza demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Quarantillo's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Quarantillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Edson Barboza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

