September 11, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:07 | 0:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 188 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -39 |
Billy Quarantillo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 199 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Billy Quarantillo dominated the striking exchanges with 112 vs 62 total strikes, 79 vs 56 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Billy Quarantillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:28 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 188 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Billy Quarantillo edged out Kyle Nelson on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:28 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Billy Quarantillo demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Billy Quarantillo capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Nelson's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Billy Quarantillo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Nelson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Kyle Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.