November 5, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Shane Burgos's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shane Burgos for the expected result. Had Billy Quarantillo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 196 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Shane Burgos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 164 | 193 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 349 | 288 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 196 | 232 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Shane Burgos controlled the striking exchanges with 232 vs 196 total strikes, 193 vs 164 significant strikes, 67.0% vs 47.0% accuracy. Shane Burgos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:09 | 2:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Shane Burgos controlled Billy Quarantillo on the ground with 2:26 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 086 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Shane Burgos demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shane Burgos capitalized on this activity level, while Billy Quarantillo's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Shane Burgos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Billy Quarantillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Billy Quarantillo | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.