Billy Ray Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita

August 25, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1042
(+42)
Billy Ray Goff
Winner: Billy Ray Goff
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:49

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Billy Ray Goff+42
Yusaku Kinoshita-37
919
(-37)
Yusaku Kinoshita

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +59Yusaku Kinoshita: -59

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 059907
ELO Change+59-59
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +20Yusaku Kinoshita: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020958
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +79Yusaku Kinoshita: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:493:49
Win Type ELO1 079918
ELO Change+79-37
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What Happened

Billy Ray Goff earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +80Yusaku Kinoshita: -80

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Significant Strikes Landed4017
Significant Strikes Attempted8553
Total Strikes Landed4317
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 080826
ELO Change+80-80
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What Happened

Billy Ray Goff controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 17 total strikes, 40 vs 17 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 32.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Billy Ray Goff capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +39Yusaku Kinoshita: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 039871
ELO Change+39-39
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +20Yusaku Kinoshita: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Days Since Last FightN/A203
Activity ELO1 020958
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Billy Ray Goff demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Billy Ray Goff capitalized on this activity level, while Yusaku Kinoshita's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +22Yusaku Kinoshita: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022958
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Billy Ray Goff started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yusaku Kinoshita is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Billy Ray Goff: +20Yusaku Kinoshita: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBilly Ray GoffYusaku Kinoshita
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020958
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.