July 13, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Junior Dos Santos's 16-fight experience advantage (17 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Dos Santos for the expected result. Had Blagoy Ivanov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 990 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 528 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +4 |
Junior Dos Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 110 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 229 | 248 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 51 total strikes, 110 vs 51 significant strikes, 44.4% vs 22.3% accuracy. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 992 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 427 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +6 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Blagoy Ivanov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +8 |
Junior Dos Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Blagoy Ivanov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.