February 3, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Marcin Tybura's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcin Tybura for the expected result. Had Blagoy Ivanov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 173 | 1 439 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Marcin Tybura earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 086 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Marcin Tybura edged the striking exchanges with 61 vs 34 total strikes, 40 vs 34 significant strikes, 38.8% vs 30.1% accuracy. Marcin Tybura capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 052 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Marcin Tybura controlled Blagoy Ivanov on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:55 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 299 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +19 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Blagoy Ivanov's 274-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Marcin Tybura extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Blagoy Ivanov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.