Blake Bilder vs Kyle Nelson

June 9, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1001
(-31)
Blake Bilder
Winner: Kyle Nelson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Blake Bilder-31
Kyle Nelson+34
985
(+34)
Kyle Nelson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -40Kyle Nelson: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Total UFC Fights27
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0221 008
ELO Change-40+40
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What Happened

Kyle Nelson's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Nelson for the expected result. Had Blake Bilder pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -25Kyle Nelson: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO995975
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -45Kyle Nelson: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9971 059
ELO Change-45+45
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What Happened

Kyle Nelson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -32Kyle Nelson: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Significant Strikes Landed4559
Significant Strikes Attempted120126
Total Strikes Landed8483
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO993948
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Kyle Nelson edged the striking exchanges with 59 vs 45 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 37.5% accuracy. Kyle Nelson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -31Kyle Nelson: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time2:452:21
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 013900
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Kyle Nelson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Blake Bilder on the ground with 2:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -23Kyle Nelson: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Days Since Last Fight119126
Activity ELO9981 028
ELO Change-23+47
💡

What Happened

Kyle Nelson demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while Blake Bilder's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -25Kyle Nelson: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO997983
ELO Change-25+27
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What Happened

Kyle Nelson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Blake Bilder is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Blake Bilder: -25Kyle Nelson: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBlake BilderKyle Nelson
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO995975
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.