April 12, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -26 |
Bo Nickal overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Brundage.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -36 |
Bo Nickal earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cody Brundage was submitted.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Bo Nickal slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 61.5% vs 33.3% accuracy. Bo Nickal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:25 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +122 | -122 |
Bo Nickal dominated Cody Brundage on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:25 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Bo Nickal demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Bo Nickal capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Brundage's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Bo Nickal extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Brundage is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Cody Brundage |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.