March 3, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Bo Nickal overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jamie Pickett.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:54 | 2:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -34 |
Bo Nickal earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 738 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:30 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 792 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Bo Nickal controlled Jamie Pickett on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:30 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Bo Nickal demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Bo Nickal capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Pickett's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Bo Nickal started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Jamie Pickett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.