November 16, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 190 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -30 |
Bo Nickal overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Bo Nickal earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Bo Nickal slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 54 vs 47 significant strikes, 63.5% vs 36.4% accuracy. Bo Nickal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Bo Nickal demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Bo Nickal capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -21 |
Bo Nickal extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.