May 3, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +34 |
Reinier de Ridder overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Bo Nickal.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 218 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +94 |
Reinier de Ridder gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 032 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -138 | +138 |
Reinier de Ridder dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 24 total strikes, 22 vs 8 significant strikes, 68.8% vs 38.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Reinier de Ridder capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:24 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Reinier de Ridder did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bo Nickal on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:09 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +49 |
Reinier de Ridder demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Reinier de Ridder capitalized on this activity level, while Bo Nickal's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Reinier de Ridder extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bo Nickal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Reinier de Ridder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.