July 7, 2023
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:38 | 0:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -35 |
Bo Nickal secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:38 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Bo Nickal controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 2 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 22.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bo Nickal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Bo Nickal demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bo Nickal capitalized on this activity level, while Val Woodburn's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Bo Nickal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Val Woodburn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bo Nickal | Val Woodburn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.