September 21, 2000
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Maurice Smith's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Maurice Smith for the expected result. Had Bobby Hoffman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +4 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Maurice Smith receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Maurice Smith dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 24 total strikes, 43 vs 10 significant strikes, 78.2% vs 22.7% accuracy. Maurice Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:12 | 5:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Maurice Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bobby Hoffman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +10 |
Maurice Smith demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Maurice Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Bobby Hoffman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Maurice Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bobby Hoffman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bobby Hoffman | Maurice Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.