March 15, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Patrick Cote's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Bobby Voelker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Patrick Cote earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 175 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 153 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Bobby Voelker controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (153 vs 97 total strikes), significant strike advantage (83 vs 72). However, since Bobby Voelker lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Patrick Cote's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:43 | 3:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 897 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Patrick Cote did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bobby Voelker on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:42 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +41 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Bobby Voelker's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Patrick Cote extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bobby Voelker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.