July 26, 2013
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 946 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Robbie Lawler's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robbie Lawler for the expected result. Had Bobby Voelker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:24 | 0:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +32 |
Robbie Lawler gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Robbie Lawler controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 11 total strikes, 28 vs 10 significant strikes, 60.9% vs 23.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robbie Lawler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Robbie Lawler landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 970 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Robbie Lawler demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robbie Lawler capitalized on this activity level, while Bobby Voelker's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Robbie Lawler extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bobby Voelker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bobby Voelker | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

