February 1, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Bogdan Grad overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lucas Alexander.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:22 | 4:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Bogdan Grad gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 050 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Bogdan Grad edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 34 significant strikes. Bogdan Grad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:18 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 34 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 855 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Bogdan Grad controlled Lucas Alexander on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:18 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 442 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Bogdan Grad demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Bogdan Grad capitalized on this activity level, while Lucas Alexander's 442-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Bogdan Grad started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lucas Alexander is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bogdan Grad | Lucas Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.