Bogdan Grad vs Muhammad Naimov

June 21, 2025

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1021
(-22)
Bogdan Grad
Winner: Muhammad Naimov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bogdan Grad-22
Muhammad Naimov+24
1130
(+24)
Muhammad Naimov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -28Muhammad Naimov: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Total UFC Fights26
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0381 128
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Muhammad Naimov's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Muhammad Naimov for the expected result. Had Bogdan Grad pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -19Muhammad Naimov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0011 076
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -30Muhammad Naimov: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0501 214
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Muhammad Naimov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -18Muhammad Naimov: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Significant Strikes Landed3118
Significant Strikes Attempted6454
Total Strikes Landed4970
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0321 182
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Grad controlled the striking through superior volume (49 vs 70 total strikes), significant strike advantage (31 vs 18), superior accuracy (48.4% vs 33.3%). However, since Bogdan Grad lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Muhammad Naimov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -24Muhammad Naimov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Takedowns Landed31
Takedowns Attempted103
Ground Control Time5:092:53
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0401 130
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Muhammad Naimov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Bogdan Grad on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:53 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -16Muhammad Naimov: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Days Since Last Fight140140
Activity ELO1 0051 141
ELO Change-16+31
💡

What Happened

Muhammad Naimov demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Naimov capitalized on this activity level, while Bogdan Grad's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -18Muhammad Naimov: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0041 093
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Muhammad Naimov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bogdan Grad is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Grad: -19Muhammad Naimov: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GradMuhammad Naimov
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0011 076
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.