July 25, 2026
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Magomed Ankalaev's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Magomed Ankalaev for the expected result. Had Bogdan Guskov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 394 | 1 707 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Magomed Ankalaev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 156 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 345 | 1 584 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Magomed Ankalaev dominated the striking exchanges with 156 vs 45 total strikes, 54 vs 39 significant strikes, 47.8% vs 61.9% accuracy. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 114 | 1 408 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Magomed Ankalaev edged out Bogdan Guskov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:26 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 429 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Bogdan Guskov's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 1 352 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +9 |
Magomed Ankalaev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bogdan Guskov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

