Bogdan Guskov vs Magomed Ankalaev

July 25, 2026

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1177
(-17)
Bogdan Guskov
Winner: Magomed Ankalaev
KO/TKO
Round 5 • 2:41

C-ELO Evolution

Bogdan Guskov-17
Magomed Ankalaev+18
1426
(+18)
Magomed Ankalaev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -17Magomed Ankalaev: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Total UFC Fights717
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 1791 387
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Magomed Ankalaev for the expected result. Had Bogdan Guskov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -10Magomed Ankalaev: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0651 280
ELO Change-10+10
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -15Magomed Ankalaev: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round55
Time of Finish2:412:41
Win Type ELO1 3941 707
ELO Change-15+30
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -43Magomed Ankalaev: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Significant Strikes Landed3954
Significant Strikes Attempted63113
Total Strikes Landed45156
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3451 584
ELO Change-43+43
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev dominated the striking exchanges with 156 vs 45 total strikes, 54 vs 39 significant strikes, 47.8% vs 61.9% accuracy. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -19Magomed Ankalaev: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:008:26
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1141 408
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev edged out Bogdan Guskov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:26 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -8Magomed Ankalaev: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Days Since Last Fight231294
Activity ELO1 1681 429
ELO Change-8+8
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Bogdan Guskov's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -8Magomed Ankalaev: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0951 352
ELO Change-8+9
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bogdan Guskov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -13Magomed Ankalaev: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovMagomed Ankalaev
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0581 224
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

Magomed Ankalaev

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight:+0
Total Title Victories So Far:1
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:5