April 26, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -44 |
Bogdan Guskov overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ryan Spann.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:16 | 3:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 227 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +152 | -74 |
Bogdan Guskov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 204 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +157 | -157 |
Bogdan Guskov controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 20 total strikes, 31 vs 15 significant strikes, 64.6% vs 39.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Bogdan Guskov landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -29 |
Bogdan Guskov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Spann's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
Bogdan Guskov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Spann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bogdan Guskov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

