Bogdan Guskov vs Volkan Oezdemir

September 1, 2023

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Bogdan Guskov
Winner: Volkan Oezdemir
Submission
Round 1 • 3:46

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bogdan Guskov-27
Volkan Oezdemir+28
1165
(+28)
Volkan Oezdemir

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -24Volkan Oezdemir: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Total UFC Fights113
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO9761 107
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Volkan Oezdemir for the expected result. Had Bogdan Guskov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -19Volkan Oezdemir: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 052
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -10Volkan Oezdemir: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:463:46
Win Type ELO9901 359
ELO Change-10+17
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -29Volkan Oezdemir: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Significant Strikes Landed826
Significant Strikes Attempted2546
Total Strikes Landed1036
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9711 306
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 10 total strikes, 26 vs 8 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 32.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -90Volkan Oezdemir: +90

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:001:23
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9101 187
ELO Change-90+90
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir dominated Bogdan Guskov on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:23 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -11Volkan Oezdemir: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Days Since Last FightN/A315
Activity ELO9891 183
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this activity level, while Bogdan Guskov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -17Volkan Oezdemir: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9831 082
ELO Change-17+19
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bogdan Guskov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: -19Volkan Oezdemir: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovVolkan Oezdemir
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 047
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.