Bogdan Guskov vs Zac Pauga

February 9, 2024

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1013
(+40)
Bogdan Guskov
Winner: Bogdan Guskov
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bogdan Guskov+40
Zac Pauga-32
938
(-32)
Zac Pauga

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +37Zac Pauga: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 013952
ELO Change+37-32
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Zac Pauga.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 002956
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +85Zac Pauga: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:383:38
Win Type ELO1 075930
ELO Change+85-40
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +76Zac Pauga: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Significant Strikes Landed1017
Significant Strikes Attempted2926
Total Strikes Landed2519
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 047848
ELO Change+76-76
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 17 significant strikes, 34.5% vs 65.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +24Zac Pauga: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:041:04
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO934938
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zac Pauga on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +36Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Days Since Last Fight162239
Activity ELO1 025963
ELO Change+36-21
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bogdan Guskov capitalized on this activity level, while Zac Pauga's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +23Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 006958
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Bogdan Guskov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zac Pauga is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bogdan Guskov: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBogdan GuskovZac Pauga
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 002956
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.