November 17, 2017
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jake Matthews's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Bojan Velickovic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jake Matthews receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 965 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Bojan Velickovic controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (113 vs 50 total strikes). However, since Bojan Velickovic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jake Matthews's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 7:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jake Matthews controlled Bojan Velickovic on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:07 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated standard activity with 357 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Bojan Velickovic's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bojan Velickovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.