December 16, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 032 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sultan Aliev receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 126 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 998 | 969 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Bojan Velickovic controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (126 vs 86 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (22 vs 15), superior accuracy (41.5% vs 57.7%). However, since Bojan Velickovic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sultan Aliev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 9:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Sultan Aliev controlled Bojan Velickovic on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:12 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 693 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +21 |
Sultan Aliev demonstrated extended layoff with 693 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sultan Aliev capitalized on this activity level, while Bojan Velickovic's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Sultan Aliev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bojan Velickovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bojan Velickovic | Sultan Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.