Brad Blackburn vs Edgar Garcia

June 19, 2009

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1107
(+20)
Brad Blackburn
Winner: Brad Blackburn
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brad Blackburn+20
Edgar Garcia-17
983
(-17)
Edgar Garcia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +27Edgar Garcia: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 081973
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Brad Blackburn's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brad Blackburn for the expected result. Had Edgar Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +19Edgar Garcia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +7Edgar Garcia: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 124993
ELO Change+7-7
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brad Blackburn receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +13Edgar Garcia: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Significant Strikes Landed6639
Significant Strikes Attempted162185
Total Strikes Landed6639
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 267987
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Brad Blackburn controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 39 total strikes, 66 vs 39 significant strikes, 40.7% vs 21.1% accuracy. Brad Blackburn capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +16Edgar Garcia: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:060:07
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 102984
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +31Edgar Garcia: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Days Since Last Fight175N/A
Activity ELO1 088982
ELO Change+31-18
💡

What Happened

Brad Blackburn demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Blackburn capitalized on this activity level, while Edgar Garcia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +24Edgar Garcia: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 071982
ELO Change+24-18
💡

What Happened

Brad Blackburn extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Edgar Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Blackburn: +19Edgar Garcia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad BlackburnEdgar Garcia
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.