December 26, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 117 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Brad Blackburn earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 296 | 181 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 254 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Brad Blackburn controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 63 significant strikes, 26.7% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brad Blackburn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Brad Blackburn demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Blackburn capitalized on this activity level, while Ryo Chonan's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Brad Blackburn extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryo Chonan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Blackburn | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

