January 19, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +35 |
Garrett Armfield overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Katona.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 991 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Garrett Armfield earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 155 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Garrett Armfield dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 76 total strikes, 105 vs 64 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 41.3% accuracy. Garrett Armfield capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:35 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 926 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Garrett Armfield did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brad Katona on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +45 |
Garrett Armfield demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Garrett Armfield capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Katona's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Garrett Armfield extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Katona is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 991 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.