May 3, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Merab Dvalishvili earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 215 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 215 vs 43 total strikes, 55 vs 32 significant strikes. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 8:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -140 | +140 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Brad Katona on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:33 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Katona's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Merab Dvalishvili extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Katona is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Katona | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.