September 23, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:30 | 0:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -48 |
Brad Kohler secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:30 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 114 | 856 |
| ELO Change | +144 | -144 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 643 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Brad Kohler demonstrated extended layoff with 643 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brad Kohler capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Judson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Brad Kohler started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Judson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Kohler | Steve Judson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.