April 18, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +95 |
Cain Velasquez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 751 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -249 | +249 |
Cain Velasquez dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 1 total strikes, 36 vs 1 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Cain Velasquez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Cain Velasquez controlled Brad Morris on the ground with 1:48 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Cain Velasquez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Cain Velasquez capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Morris's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Cain Velasquez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Morris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Morris | Cain Velasquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

