December 28, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Eddie Wineland receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 212 | 294 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Eddie Wineland controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 67 total strikes, 90 vs 67 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Eddie Wineland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 205 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Eddie Wineland demonstrated standard activity with 205 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Eddie Wineland capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Pickett's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Eddie Wineland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Eddie Wineland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

